The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 38th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, combined with the retirement of incumbent Wesley Hunt to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has positioned GOP candidates as clear frontrunners in the November 2026 general election. Following the March 3 primaries, Jon Bonck leads the Republican runoff against Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, bolstered by endorsements from figures including Donald Trump. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her primary but faces an uphill path in a Houston-area district where Republican performance in recent cycles has consistently exceeded statewide averages. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in the primary runoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$16,249 Vol.
$16,249 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
18%
$16,249 Vol.
$16,249 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,988 Vol.
78%
Democratic Party
$5,261 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 38th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, combined with the retirement of incumbent Wesley Hunt to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has positioned GOP candidates as clear frontrunners in the November 2026 general election. Following the March 3 primaries, Jon Bonck leads the Republican runoff against Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, bolstered by endorsements from figures including Donald Trump. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her primary but faces an uphill path in a Houston-area district where Republican performance in recent cycles has consistently exceeded statewide averages. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in the primary runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$16,249শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 38th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, combined with the retirement of incumbent Wesley Hunt to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has positioned GOP candidates as clear frontrunners in the November 2026 general election. Following the March 3 primaries, Jon Bonck leads the Republican runoff against Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, bolstered by endorsements from figures including Donald Trump. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her primary but faces an uphill path in a Houston-area district where Republican performance in recent cycles has consistently exceeded statewide averages. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in the primary runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$16,249শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 38th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, combined with the retirement of incumbent Wesley Hunt to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has positioned GOP candidates as clear frontrunners in the November 2026 general election. Following the March 3 primaries, Jon Bonck leads the Republican runoff against Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, bolstered by endorsements from figures including Donald Trump. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her primary but faces an uphill path in a Houston-area district where Republican performance in recent cycles has consistently exceeded statewide averages. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, though the outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in the primary runoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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