The heavily Democratic lean of Texas’s 18th congressional district, which delivered 76.7% for Kamala Harris and 78.5% for Colin Allred in 2024, anchors trader pricing for a Democratic general-election victory. Redistricting folded much of the former 9th district into the 18th, pitting two sitting Democrats—incumbent Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special runoff to complete Sylvester Turner’s term, against Al Green—in a May 26 primary runoff whose winner faces only token Republican opposition from Ronald Whitfield in November. The district’s voting-age population, majority Black and Hispanic, and consistent partisan margins sustain the 78.5% Democratic consensus, while the 6.5% Republican share reflects limited crossover potential and the absence of competitive structural factors that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
78%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas’s 18th congressional district, which delivered 76.7% for Kamala Harris and 78.5% for Colin Allred in 2024, anchors trader pricing for a Democratic general-election victory. Redistricting folded much of the former 9th district into the 18th, pitting two sitting Democrats—incumbent Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special runoff to complete Sylvester Turner’s term, against Al Green—in a May 26 primary runoff whose winner faces only token Republican opposition from Ronald Whitfield in November. The district’s voting-age population, majority Black and Hispanic, and consistent partisan margins sustain the 78.5% Democratic consensus, while the 6.5% Republican share reflects limited crossover potential and the absence of competitive structural factors that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas’s 18th congressional district, which delivered 76.7% for Kamala Harris and 78.5% for Colin Allred in 2024, anchors trader pricing for a Democratic general-election victory. Redistricting folded much of the former 9th district into the 18th, pitting two sitting Democrats—incumbent Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special runoff to complete Sylvester Turner’s term, against Al Green—in a May 26 primary runoff whose winner faces only token Republican opposition from Ronald Whitfield in November. The district’s voting-age population, majority Black and Hispanic, and consistent partisan margins sustain the 78.5% Democratic consensus, while the 6.5% Republican share reflects limited crossover potential and the absence of competitive structural factors that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Texas’s 18th congressional district, which delivered 76.7% for Kamala Harris and 78.5% for Colin Allred in 2024, anchors trader pricing for a Democratic general-election victory. Redistricting folded much of the former 9th district into the 18th, pitting two sitting Democrats—incumbent Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special runoff to complete Sylvester Turner’s term, against Al Green—in a May 26 primary runoff whose winner faces only token Republican opposition from Ronald Whitfield in November. The district’s voting-age population, majority Black and Hispanic, and consistent partisan margins sustain the 78.5% Democratic consensus, while the 6.5% Republican share reflects limited crossover potential and the absence of competitive structural factors that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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