Redistricting last summer consolidated two longtime Democratic strongholds in Houston into the newly drawn 18th District, forcing a rare matchup between incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to fill the seat, has maintained a consistent lead in subsequent polling and fundraising, outraising Green by roughly two-to-one in the first quarter. With the May 26 runoff approaching, traders view Menefee as the clear frontrunner based on these trends, while Green’s long tenure has not translated into comparable momentum in the revised district lines. Minor candidates remain negligible factors at this stage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডChristian Menefee 89.5%
Al Green 10.4%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,872 Vol.
$27,872 Vol.
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.5%
Al Green 10.4%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,872 Vol.
$27,872 Vol.
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last summer consolidated two longtime Democratic strongholds in Houston into the newly drawn 18th District, forcing a rare matchup between incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to fill the seat, has maintained a consistent lead in subsequent polling and fundraising, outraising Green by roughly two-to-one in the first quarter. With the May 26 runoff approaching, traders view Menefee as the clear frontrunner based on these trends, while Green’s long tenure has not translated into comparable momentum in the revised district lines. Minor candidates remain negligible factors at this stage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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