Ongoing US-Turkey talks center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russian S-400 systems, the core legal barrier under CAATSA that led to Turkey’s 2019 removal from the F-35 program. In July 2026 the State Department informed Congress that Turkey still fails certification requirements, including S-400 removal and non-acquisition assurances, blocking any transfer. Turkish officials have explored transferring the systems to the UAE or other partners, while President Trump signaled willingness during meetings with President Erdogan to lift sanctions and consider program re-entry. Congressional opposition, including from Greek-American and Israeli interests, adds procedural hurdles. Resolution hinges on verifiable S-400 disposition, executive certification, and legislative approval before any formal re-inclusion.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$40,695 Vol.
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
39%
$40,695 Vol.
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
39%
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Turkey talks center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russian S-400 systems, the core legal barrier under CAATSA that led to Turkey’s 2019 removal from the F-35 program. In July 2026 the State Department informed Congress that Turkey still fails certification requirements, including S-400 removal and non-acquisition assurances, blocking any transfer. Turkish officials have explored transferring the systems to the UAE or other partners, while President Trump signaled willingness during meetings with President Erdogan to lift sanctions and consider program re-entry. Congressional opposition, including from Greek-American and Israeli interests, adds procedural hurdles. Resolution hinges on verifiable S-400 disposition, executive certification, and legislative approval before any formal re-inclusion.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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