Tarsier Pharma's planned $45–50 million NYSE American IPO, filed in April 2026 and terms set in May with an upsized July filing targeting a roughly $294 million midpoint valuation, has not closed as of mid-August. Traders assign 98.5% odds to no IPO before September 2026 because the July launch window passed without pricing or trading, amid a selective biotech equity market where only stronger clinical or financial profiles have cleared recently. The minimal probabilities on all closing market-cap ranges reflect this timeline risk. An unexpected acceleration could still occur if the company secures additional private funding or favorable regulatory updates ahead of its Phase 3 Tarsier-04 trial, but current filings and market activity show no such catalysts materializing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTarsier Pharma IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before September 2026 98.6%
$250M-$300M 3.0%
$400M-$450M 3.0%
$350M-$400M 1.8%
$15,112 Vol.
$15,112 Vol.
<$250M
1%
$250M-$300M
3%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
2%
$400M-$450M
3%
>$450M
<1%
No IPO before September 2026
99%
No IPO before September 2026 98.6%
$250M-$300M 3.0%
$400M-$450M 3.0%
$350M-$400M 1.8%
$15,112 Vol.
$15,112 Vol.
<$250M
1%
$250M-$300M
3%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
2%
$400M-$450M
3%
>$450M
<1%
No IPO before September 2026
99%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 7, 2026, 9:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarsier Pharma's planned $45–50 million NYSE American IPO, filed in April 2026 and terms set in May with an upsized July filing targeting a roughly $294 million midpoint valuation, has not closed as of mid-August. Traders assign 98.5% odds to no IPO before September 2026 because the July launch window passed without pricing or trading, amid a selective biotech equity market where only stronger clinical or financial profiles have cleared recently. The minimal probabilities on all closing market-cap ranges reflect this timeline risk. An unexpected acceleration could still occur if the company secures additional private funding or favorable regulatory updates ahead of its Phase 3 Tarsier-04 trial, but current filings and market activity show no such catalysts materializing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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