Recent polling from VCIOM, FOM, and others shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead for first place ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete closely for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional organizations, consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, and its nationalist positioning, which traders see as positioning it ahead for third. New People has posted gains in some telephone polls among urban and younger voters but trails in others due to weaker rural reach. KPRF support has eased from prior cycles amid broader party-list dynamics. Yabloko faces registration barriers, limiting its impact. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place probabilities ahead of official results.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.4%
$74,843 Vol.
$74,843 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
55%
New People (NL)
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
2%
Yabloko
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.4%
$74,843 Vol.
$74,843 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$21,376 Vol.
55%
New People (NL)
$15,526 Vol.
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,547 Vol.
12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,808 Vol.
2%
Yabloko
$11,123 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,409 Vol.
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,103 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$3,951 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from VCIOM, FOM, and others shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead for first place ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete closely for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional organizations, consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, and its nationalist positioning, which traders see as positioning it ahead for third. New People has posted gains in some telephone polls among urban and younger voters but trails in others due to weaker rural reach. KPRF support has eased from prior cycles amid broader party-list dynamics. Yabloko faces registration barriers, limiting its impact. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place probabilities ahead of official results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$74,843শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from VCIOM, FOM, and others shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead for first place ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete closely for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional organizations, consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, and its nationalist positioning, which traders see as positioning it ahead for third. New People has posted gains in some telephone polls among urban and younger voters but trails in others due to weaker rural reach. KPRF support has eased from prior cycles amid broader party-list dynamics. Yabloko faces registration barriers, limiting its impact. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place probabilities ahead of official results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ভলিউম
$74,843শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from VCIOM, FOM, and others shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead for first place ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete closely for the remaining spots above the 5% threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional organizations, consistent mid-teens support in multiple surveys, and its nationalist positioning, which traders see as positioning it ahead for third. New People has posted gains in some telephone polls among urban and younger voters but trails in others due to weaker rural reach. KPRF support has eased from prior cycles amid broader party-list dynamics. Yabloko faces registration barriers, limiting its impact. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place probabilities ahead of official results.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
পরবর্তী রুশ সংসদীয় নির্বাচনে ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর) সবচেয়ে বেশি আসন জিতবে কি?
99%
হ্যাঁ
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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