Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds a modest lead in the Pará gubernatorial race, reflected in her 58.5% market probability. Recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODE), with both in the mid-to-high 20s in first-round scenarios and high numbers of undecided voters. This closeness stems from Santos's profile as former Ananindeua mayor drawing opposition support, while Ghassan's incumbency provides structural advantages ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their marginal polling presence, leaving the outcome sensitive to late shifts in voter preference or turnout.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Hana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Paulo Rocha 1.4%
Éder Mauro 1.1%
$27,359 Vol.
$27,359 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
41%
Paulo Rocha
1%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Hana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Paulo Rocha 1.4%
Éder Mauro 1.1%
$27,359 Vol.
$27,359 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$11,810 Vol.
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$8,576 Vol.
41%
Paulo Rocha
$1,077 Vol.
1%
Éder Mauro
$3,216 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$923 Vol.
1%
Rogério Barra
$909 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$848 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds a modest lead in the Pará gubernatorial race, reflected in her 58.5% market probability. Recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODE), with both in the mid-to-high 20s in first-round scenarios and high numbers of undecided voters. This closeness stems from Santos's profile as former Ananindeua mayor drawing opposition support, while Ghassan's incumbency provides structural advantages ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their marginal polling presence, leaving the outcome sensitive to late shifts in voter preference or turnout.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,359শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds a modest lead in the Pará gubernatorial race, reflected in her 58.5% market probability. Recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODE), with both in the mid-to-high 20s in first-round scenarios and high numbers of undecided voters. This closeness stems from Santos's profile as former Ananindeua mayor drawing opposition support, while Ghassan's incumbency provides structural advantages ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their marginal polling presence, leaving the outcome sensitive to late shifts in voter preference or turnout.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$27,359শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds a modest lead in the Pará gubernatorial race, reflected in her 58.5% market probability. Recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODE), with both in the mid-to-high 20s in first-round scenarios and high numbers of undecided voters. This closeness stems from Santos's profile as former Ananindeua mayor drawing opposition support, while Ghassan's incumbency provides structural advantages ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff. Low probabilities for other listed candidates align with their marginal polling presence, leaving the outcome sensitive to late shifts in voter preference or turnout.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা