Traders assign near-certain probability to no congressional testimony by Pam Bondi before the May 31 deadline because no public hearing or transcribed interview was scheduled in the weeks after her April ouster as attorney general. Senate confirmation occurred in February 2025, followed by later budget and oversight appearances, yet committee calendars through late May showed no slot for her on pending matters such as Epstein files or Department of Justice policy. This absence of any announced appearance or subpoena enforcement aligned with standard procedural timelines for former officials. Late developments that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected closed-door session called in the final 48 hours or a voluntary appearance tied to ongoing investigations, though none materialized before the cutoff.