Oregon's 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index, placing it among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide and underpinning trader consensus around a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination on May 19 with roughly 90% of the primary vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the seat's established voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$748 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$586 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index, placing it among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide and underpinning trader consensus around a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination on May 19 with roughly 90% of the primary vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the seat's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,334শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index, placing it among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide and underpinning trader consensus around a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination on May 19 with roughly 90% of the primary vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the seat's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,334শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index, placing it among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide and underpinning trader consensus around a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination on May 19 with roughly 90% of the primary vote against limited opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the seat's established voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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