Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng holds an 86.5% consensus probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting her established position, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million, and high name recognition across central and eastern Queens. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff running on progressive priorities, launched a grassroots field effort in March and secured some local endorsements, yet trails at 14.9% amid limited resources and the structural advantages of incumbency. Yan Xiong, initially listed among candidates, was disqualified and does not appear on the ballot, accounting for his 1.5% share. The race remains low-profile with no major late developments altering the trader consensus ahead of the primary.