Google's persistent delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May with a June target that slipped through July and into September—underpin the 85% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30. Traders are pricing in the company's pattern of extended internal testing and feedback cycles for frontier models, while recent September 2 launches of Gemini 3.8 Flash variants demonstrate focus on rapid, lower-cost iterations rather than the Pro tier. Sundar Pichai's Q2 comments on ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training and monthly Flash cadence further signal that any near-term Pro availability remains unlikely absent a surprise API or developer update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo release by September 30 85%
September 30 5.5%
September 23 4.1%
September 15 1.7%
$59,762 Vol.
$59,762 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
September 4
1%
September 5
1%
September 6
<1%
September 7
1%
September 8
<1%
September 9
<1%
September 10
<1%
September 11
1%
September 12
1%
September 13
<1%
September 14
<1%
September 15
2%
September 16
2%
September 17
2%
September 18
<1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
1%
September 23
4%
September 24
1%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
<1%
September 29
1%
September 30
6%
No release by September 30
85%
No release by September 30 85%
September 30 5.5%
September 23 4.1%
September 15 1.7%
$59,762 Vol.
$59,762 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
September 4
$298 Vol.
1%
September 5
$302 Vol.
1%
September 6
$307 Vol.
<1%
September 7
$356 Vol.
1%
September 8
$294 Vol.
<1%
September 9
$302 Vol.
<1%
September 10
$302 Vol.
<1%
September 11
$298 Vol.
1%
September 12
$302 Vol.
1%
September 13
$302 Vol.
<1%
September 14
$307 Vol.
<1%
September 15
$542 Vol.
2%
September 16
$538 Vol.
2%
September 17
$542 Vol.
2%
September 18
$305 Vol.
<1%
September 19
$302 Vol.
1%
September 20
$302 Vol.
1%
September 21
$302 Vol.
1%
September 22
$569 Vol.
1%
September 23
$449 Vol.
4%
September 24
$579 Vol.
1%
September 25
$298 Vol.
1%
September 26
$300 Vol.
1%
September 27
$302 Vol.
1%
September 28
$480 Vol.
<1%
September 29
$370 Vol.
1%
September 30
$682 Vol.
6%
No release by September 30
$47,117 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May with a June target that slipped through July and into September—underpin the 85% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30. Traders are pricing in the company's pattern of extended internal testing and feedback cycles for frontier models, while recent September 2 launches of Gemini 3.8 Flash variants demonstrate focus on rapid, lower-cost iterations rather than the Pro tier. Sundar Pichai's Q2 comments on ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training and monthly Flash cadence further signal that any near-term Pro availability remains unlikely absent a surprise API or developer update.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$59,762শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May with a June target that slipped through July and into September—underpin the 85% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30. Traders are pricing in the company's pattern of extended internal testing and feedback cycles for frontier models, while recent September 2 launches of Gemini 3.8 Flash variants demonstrate focus on rapid, lower-cost iterations rather than the Pro tier. Sundar Pichai's Q2 comments on ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training and monthly Flash cadence further signal that any near-term Pro availability remains unlikely absent a surprise API or developer update.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$59,762শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Google's persistent delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May with a June target that slipped through July and into September—underpin the 85% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30. Traders are pricing in the company's pattern of extended internal testing and feedback cycles for frontier models, while recent September 2 launches of Gemini 3.8 Flash variants demonstrate focus on rapid, lower-cost iterations rather than the Pro tier. Sundar Pichai's Q2 comments on ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training and monthly Flash cadence further signal that any near-term Pro availability remains unlikely absent a surprise API or developer update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা