**Judges in Netanyahu’s long-running corruption trial have repeatedly signaled evidentiary weaknesses in the bribery charge within Case 4000, the most serious allegation, and urged prosecutors to consider dropping it—a position unchanged after the prime minister’s extensive 2026 testimony.** The proceedings, which began in 2020, remain in the defense-evidence phase following Netanyahu’s completion of 98 hearing days in June and resumption with other witnesses in September 2026. No verdict is expected soon, with the schedule potentially extending into 2028 amid disputes over hearing pace and witness lists. Netanyahu denies all charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust across the three cases. Traders’ 70% “No” probability on conviction aligns with these procedural delays, judicial skepticism on the core count, and the absence of decisive developments that would alter the trajectory toward a full conviction.