The open seat in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, has produced closely matched trader pricing between the parties. The district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index and mix of Democratic-leaning urban centers with broader Republican strength have historically supported GOP holds, yet the absence of an incumbent narrows the edge. Both parties face contested June 2 primaries—Republicans featuring Aaron Flint with Zinke’s endorsement alongside Christi Jacobsen, and Democrats led by Ryan Busse—leaving nominee quality and general-election matchups unresolved. Recent polls show single-digit margins in head-to-head tests, consistent with midterm dynamics that could shift with national conditions or primary results before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
47%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 Vol.
56%
Democratic Party
$392 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, has produced closely matched trader pricing between the parties. The district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index and mix of Democratic-leaning urban centers with broader Republican strength have historically supported GOP holds, yet the absence of an incumbent narrows the edge. Both parties face contested June 2 primaries—Republicans featuring Aaron Flint with Zinke’s endorsement alongside Christi Jacobsen, and Democrats led by Ryan Busse—leaving nominee quality and general-election matchups unresolved. Recent polls show single-digit margins in head-to-head tests, consistent with midterm dynamics that could shift with national conditions or primary results before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, has produced closely matched trader pricing between the parties. The district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index and mix of Democratic-leaning urban centers with broader Republican strength have historically supported GOP holds, yet the absence of an incumbent narrows the edge. Both parties face contested June 2 primaries—Republicans featuring Aaron Flint with Zinke’s endorsement alongside Christi Jacobsen, and Democrats led by Ryan Busse—leaving nominee quality and general-election matchups unresolved. Recent polls show single-digit margins in head-to-head tests, consistent with midterm dynamics that could shift with national conditions or primary results before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, has produced closely matched trader pricing between the parties. The district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index and mix of Democratic-leaning urban centers with broader Republican strength have historically supported GOP holds, yet the absence of an incumbent narrows the edge. Both parties face contested June 2 primaries—Republicans featuring Aaron Flint with Zinke’s endorsement alongside Christi Jacobsen, and Democrats led by Ryan Busse—leaving nominee quality and general-election matchups unresolved. Recent polls show single-digit margins in head-to-head tests, consistent with midterm dynamics that could shift with national conditions or primary results before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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