Incumbent Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 29th most Republican nationally—and 71% Trump support in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican, bolstered by Ezell's $889,000 fundraising haul versus Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III's $2,200 through March 31. With the November 3 general election distant and no polling showing competitiveness, odds reflect structural incumbency advantages and weak Democratic infrastructure; rare shifts could arise from scandals, health events, or a national Democratic wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$23,328 Vol.
$23,328 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$23,328 Vol.
$23,328 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,313 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$14,015 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 29th most Republican nationally—and 71% Trump support in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican, bolstered by Ezell's $889,000 fundraising haul versus Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III's $2,200 through March 31. With the November 3 general election distant and no polling showing competitiveness, odds reflect structural incumbency advantages and weak Democratic infrastructure; rare shifts could arise from scandals, health events, or a national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$23,328শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 29th most Republican nationally—and 71% Trump support in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican, bolstered by Ezell's $889,000 fundraising haul versus Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III's $2,200 through March 31. With the November 3 general election distant and no polling showing competitiveness, odds reflect structural incumbency advantages and weak Democratic infrastructure; rare shifts could arise from scandals, health events, or a national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$23,328শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican win in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 29th most Republican nationally—and 71% Trump support in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican, bolstered by Ezell's $889,000 fundraising haul versus Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III's $2,200 through March 31. With the November 3 general election distant and no polling showing competitiveness, odds reflect structural incumbency advantages and weak Democratic infrastructure; rare shifts could arise from scandals, health events, or a national Democratic wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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