Republican incumbent Mark Alford's dominant 71% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with Missouri's 4th Congressional District's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 contest. Recent redistricting upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in March added Kansas City exurbs but preserved the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others, with no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging amid a crowded primary field including 2024 nominee Jeanette Cass. Absent major catalysts like a GOP primary upset on August 4, Alford scandal, or national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched partisan lean and incumbency advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$14,454 Vol.
$14,454 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,454 Vol.
$14,454 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,554 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,900 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Alford's dominant 71% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with Missouri's 4th Congressional District's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 contest. Recent redistricting upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in March added Kansas City exurbs but preserved the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others, with no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging amid a crowded primary field including 2024 nominee Jeanette Cass. Absent major catalysts like a GOP primary upset on August 4, Alford scandal, or national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched partisan lean and incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,454শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Alford's dominant 71% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with Missouri's 4th Congressional District's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 contest. Recent redistricting upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in March added Kansas City exurbs but preserved the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others, with no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging amid a crowded primary field including 2024 nominee Jeanette Cass. Absent major catalysts like a GOP primary upset on August 4, Alford scandal, or national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched partisan lean and incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,454শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mark Alford's dominant 71% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with Missouri's 4th Congressional District's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in the November 2026 contest. Recent redistricting upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in March added Kansas City exurbs but preserved the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others, with no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging amid a crowded primary field including 2024 nominee Jeanette Cass. Absent major catalysts like a GOP primary upset on August 4, Alford scandal, or national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched partisan lean and incumbency advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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