US federal prosecutors added conspiracy to commit torture charges against former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in early October 2026, supplementing earlier narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons counts stemming from his January capture during a US military operation. Maduro, held at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since then, faces a June 2027 trial where conviction on all counts could carry mandatory minimum sentences of 50 years or life. Defense efforts to dismiss the case on immunity grounds remain pending, with Venezuela’s interim government not asserting protections. Traders price “no prison time” highest at 55.5% amid the extended timeline, possible plea negotiations, acquittal risks, or diplomatic shifts, while 60+ years draws 32.5% on the strength of the evidence presented.