Trader sentiment heavily favors “No” for Ye performing in Russia by October 31 because the only announced dates—two sold-out stadium shows at Gazprom Arena in St. Petersburg on October 10–11—were officially canceled in early October after weeks of venue denials and political pushback. Russian officials, including the foreign ministry, publicly condemned the gigs over the rapper’s past antisemitic remarks and Hitler glorification, a sensitive issue in the country. The promoter confirmed refunds would begin October 12 with no rescheduling mentioned. No alternative venues, private events, or new tour stops have surfaced in credible reporting. With the original dates now passed and limited time remaining, the market reflects strong consensus that an 11th-hour turnaround is improbable, though an unannounced surprise appearance remains a remote theoretical possibility.