Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism–Zehut technical bloc at roughly six Knesset seats two weeks before the October 27 election, with individual surveys ranging from five to seven. Trader prices cluster on the 4-5 and 6-7 seat bins because the alliance’s support rests on a narrow religious-Zionist and settlement voter base that has shown modest volatility amid bloc-wide competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud. A surplus-vote agreement signed with Likud in early October improves the odds of clearing the 3.25 percent threshold but does not expand the projected seat total. Final-week turnout among core supporters, any late shifts in right-bloc consolidation, and the bloc’s overall performance relative to other nationalist lists remain the main variables that could push results outside the current 4-7 seat range reflected in market pricing.