Recent polling averages place Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at 5 seats in Israel's October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing 5 and occasional readings of 6 or 4 amid a 3.25% electoral threshold. The Supreme Court’s early October reversal of the Central Elections Committee ban cleared the party for the ballot alongside the Joint List, removing a key uncertainty. Arab parties overall hold roughly 13 seats in aggregates, with Ra'am’s share reflecting steady support in that sector and limited crossover. Surplus-vote pacts and final turnout among Arab voters remain variables that could shift the exact seat total in the closing days. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of outcomes from current survey data.