President Donald Trump has not ruled out invoking the Insurrection Act of 1807 ahead of the November 3, 2026, midterm elections, citing potential civil disorder tied to immigration enforcement actions, voter fraud concerns, and possible post-election protests or certification disputes. In a late September Time interview, he stated he “could use it” and noted that supporters have urged its application, while administration officials have prepared contingency plans if Democrats gain congressional seats. Prior threats during 2025 protests against ICE operations in cities like Los Angeles, Portland, Chicago, and Minneapolis did not result in formal invocation, and military leaders have stated there are no plans to deploy troops at polling places. Trader consensus on near-term invocation remains low, reflecting the absence of sustained widespread unrest sufficient to trigger the statute and institutional constraints on domestic military use. Midterm results and any ensuing legal or street-level developments through December could still shift probabilities.