Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote in Idaho's 1st congressional district, facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index of R+22 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 45-point Trump victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on historical results and the absence of competitive polling. Scenarios that could alter this positioning include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health developments, or late-cycle scandals capable of eroding the incumbent's structural advantages before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডID-01 House Election Winner
$34,548 Vol.
$34,548 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$34,548 Vol.
$34,548 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote in Idaho's 1st congressional district, facing Democrat Kaylee Peterson in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index of R+22 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 45-point Trump victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on historical results and the absence of competitive polling. Scenarios that could alter this positioning include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health developments, or late-cycle scandals capable of eroding the incumbent's structural advantages before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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