The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on May 15, 2026—stemming from a hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge—has reinforced trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. Weinstein, 74, already serves a 16-year California sentence for separate sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, and ongoing health concerns have further shaped expectations of minimal effective new time. With prosecutors weighing whether to pursue yet another Manhattan retrial after the latest deadlock, the market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes that avoid substantial stacked sentences. Upcoming hearings and any California appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
কারাদণ্ড নয় 75.9%
২০-৩০ বছর 9.7%
১০-২০ বছর 7.2%
৫ বছরের কম 4.5%
$1,053,424 Vol.
$1,053,424 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
76%
৫ বছরের কম
5%
5-10 years
3%
১০-২০ বছর
7%
২০-৩০ বছর
10%
30+ years
3%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 75.9%
২০-৩০ বছর 9.7%
১০-২০ বছর 7.2%
৫ বছরের কম 4.5%
$1,053,424 Vol.
$1,053,424 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$368,482 Vol.
76%
৫ বছরের কম
$138,320 Vol.
5%
5-10 years
$87,980 Vol.
3%
১০-২০ বছর
$167,032 Vol.
7%
২০-৩০ বছর
$210,371 Vol.
10%
30+ years
$81,240 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on May 15, 2026—stemming from a hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge—has reinforced trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. Weinstein, 74, already serves a 16-year California sentence for separate sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, and ongoing health concerns have further shaped expectations of minimal effective new time. With prosecutors weighing whether to pursue yet another Manhattan retrial after the latest deadlock, the market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes that avoid substantial stacked sentences. Upcoming hearings and any California appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,053,424শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on May 15, 2026—stemming from a hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge—has reinforced trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. Weinstein, 74, already serves a 16-year California sentence for separate sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, and ongoing health concerns have further shaped expectations of minimal effective new time. With prosecutors weighing whether to pursue yet another Manhattan retrial after the latest deadlock, the market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes that avoid substantial stacked sentences. Upcoming hearings and any California appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,053,424শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on May 15, 2026—stemming from a hung jury on the Jessica Mann rape charge—has reinforced trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. Weinstein, 74, already serves a 16-year California sentence for separate sexual assault convictions while appealing that verdict, and ongoing health concerns have further shaped expectations of minimal effective new time. With prosecutors weighing whether to pursue yet another Manhattan retrial after the latest deadlock, the market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes that avoid substantial stacked sentences. Upcoming hearings and any California appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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