$177,242 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025
September 30
Yes
December 31
Yes
$177,242 Vol.
September 30
$139,445 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$37,797 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$177,242শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
ডিসপিউটেড
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
ডিসপিউটেড
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$177,242শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
ডিসপিউটেড
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
ডিসপিউটেড
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা