Brazil's status as a five-time World Cup champion and top seed in Group C, combined with its deep squad and strong recent qualification results, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for the Seleção to top the group. Morocco's 11th FIFA ranking, 2022 semifinal pedigree, and organized defensive structure position it as the clearest challenger at 17.5%, particularly in a head-to-head opener against Brazil. Scotland and Haiti trail at 6.5% and 1.1% due to lower rankings and limited recent international success, though both could influence outcomes through physical matchups or set-piece threats in the expanded 48-team format. The group stage begins June 13 with Brazil facing Morocco in New York.