Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৬৫-৮৯ 100.0%
৪০-এর কম <1%
৪০-৬৪ <1%
৯০-১১৪ <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
৪০-এর কম
না
৪০-৬৪
না
৬৫-৮৯
হ্যাঁ
৯০-১১৪
না
১১৫-১৩৯
না
১৪০-১৬৪
না
১৬৫-১৮৯
না
১৯০-২১৪
না
২১৫-২৩৯
না
২৪০+
না
৬৫-৮৯ 100.0%
৪০-এর কম <1%
৪০-৬৪ <1%
৯০-১১৪ <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
৪০-এর কম
$219,309 Vol.
না
৪০-৬৪
$227,964 Vol.
না
৬৫-৮৯
$299,100 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
৯০-১১৪
$368,062 Vol.
না
১১৫-১৩৯
$267,777 Vol.
না
১৪০-১৬৪
$139,452 Vol.
না
১৬৫-১৮৯
$68,265 Vol.
না
১৯০-২১৪
$77,479 Vol.
না
২১৫-২৩৯
$35,132 Vol.
না
২৪০+
$55,992 Vol.
না
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,758,532শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: না
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: না
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$1,758,532শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: না
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: না
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা