Databricks' elevated 62.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents poor timing amid a crowded calendar including potential SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI offerings. This sentiment aligns with the company's July 2026 strategic funding round at a $188 billion valuation, up from the $134 billion Series L close in late 2025, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% year-over-year growth. Secondary market activity implies valuations in the $165–$188 billion range, consistent with the clustered probabilities across sub-$150 billion to $450 billion+ buckets if an IPO eventually occurs. Traders are pricing in continued private capital access and macro sensitivity over near-term public listing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDatabricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
<$150B 93%
$150B-$200B 93%
$400B-$450B 93%
$450B+ 93%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
93%
$150B-$200B
93%
$200B-$250B
43%
$250B-$300B
44%
$300B-$350B
44%
$350B-$400B
42%
$400B-$450B
93%
$450B+
93%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
64%
<$150B 93%
$150B-$200B 93%
$400B-$450B 93%
$450B+ 93%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$0 Vol.
93%
$150B-$200B
$0 Vol.
93%
$200B-$250B
$18 Vol.
43%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
44%
$300B-$350B
$18 Vol.
44%
$350B-$400B
$18 Vol.
42%
$400B-$450B
$0 Vol.
93%
$450B+
$0 Vol.
93%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$172 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 62.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents poor timing amid a crowded calendar including potential SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI offerings. This sentiment aligns with the company's July 2026 strategic funding round at a $188 billion valuation, up from the $134 billion Series L close in late 2025, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% year-over-year growth. Secondary market activity implies valuations in the $165–$188 billion range, consistent with the clustered probabilities across sub-$150 billion to $450 billion+ buckets if an IPO eventually occurs. Traders are pricing in continued private capital access and macro sensitivity over near-term public listing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$244শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 62.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents poor timing amid a crowded calendar including potential SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI offerings. This sentiment aligns with the company's July 2026 strategic funding round at a $188 billion valuation, up from the $134 billion Series L close in late 2025, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% year-over-year growth. Secondary market activity implies valuations in the $165–$188 billion range, consistent with the clustered probabilities across sub-$150 billion to $450 billion+ buckets if an IPO eventually occurs. Traders are pricing in continued private capital access and macro sensitivity over near-term public listing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$244শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' elevated 62.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents poor timing amid a crowded calendar including potential SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI offerings. This sentiment aligns with the company's July 2026 strategic funding round at a $188 billion valuation, up from the $134 billion Series L close in late 2025, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% year-over-year growth. Secondary market activity implies valuations in the $165–$188 billion range, consistent with the clustered probabilities across sub-$150 billion to $450 billion+ buckets if an IPO eventually occurs. Traders are pricing in continued private capital access and macro sensitivity over near-term public listing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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