Trader consensus prices state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the strong frontrunner at 65% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising superiority, aggressive digital ad strategy targeting former state Rep. Shannon Bird's immigration voting record, and sustained momentum from Latino Victory Project spending. A poll released four days ago confirmed a tight two-candidate race, with Bird at 23% bolstered by over $750,000 in recent EMILY's List ads attacking Rutinel's Medicaid cut vote amid a $1.5 billion shortfall, yet his online dominance and retail campaigning maintain the edge as ballots mail June 8. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's long withdrawal and others' weak support keep them under 2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডManny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$21,395 Vol.
$21,395 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
22%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$21,395 Vol.
$21,395 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
22%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the strong frontrunner at 65% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising superiority, aggressive digital ad strategy targeting former state Rep. Shannon Bird's immigration voting record, and sustained momentum from Latino Victory Project spending. A poll released four days ago confirmed a tight two-candidate race, with Bird at 23% bolstered by over $750,000 in recent EMILY's List ads attacking Rutinel's Medicaid cut vote amid a $1.5 billion shortfall, yet his online dominance and retail campaigning maintain the edge as ballots mail June 8. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's long withdrawal and others' weak support keep them under 2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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