Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Alaska, and Ohio currently lead trader probabilities for the tightest 2026 Senate contest because multiple battlegrounds show projected margins under five points in recent polling aggregates. Open-seat races in Iowa and Michigan, along with contested holds in Texas and Alaska, feature nominees whose profiles and fundraising leave limited separation in forecasts from outlets tracking toss-up dynamics. Maine, North Carolina, and Nebraska follow closely due to similar polling volatility and turnout uncertainty in states with divided partisan leans. Late-cycle developments such as additional advertising waves, candidate debates, or shifts in the national environment could narrow or widen gaps among these races before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas 15%
Iowa 13.2%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 10%
$36,518 Vol.
$36,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
15%
Iowa
13%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
10%
Ohio (Special)
10%
Maine
9%
Nebraska
7%
Colorado
5%
Virginia
3%
Montana
3%
Florida (Special)
2%
New Hampshire
2%
North Carolina
8%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
1%
Minnesota
1%
Texas 15%
Iowa 13.2%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 10%
$36,518 Vol.
$36,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,816 Vol.
15%
Iowa
$2,959 Vol.
13%
Michigan
$2,833 Vol.
11%
Alaska
$7,267 Vol.
10%
Ohio (Special)
$8,805 Vol.
10%
Maine
$1,305 Vol.
9%
Nebraska
$293 Vol.
7%
Colorado
$716 Vol.
5%
Virginia
$5,073 Vol.
3%
Montana
$1,214 Vol.
3%
Florida (Special)
$253 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$659 Vol.
2%
North Carolina
$851 Vol.
8%
Georgia
$824 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$1,489 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Alaska, and Ohio currently lead trader probabilities for the tightest 2026 Senate contest because multiple battlegrounds show projected margins under five points in recent polling aggregates. Open-seat races in Iowa and Michigan, along with contested holds in Texas and Alaska, feature nominees whose profiles and fundraising leave limited separation in forecasts from outlets tracking toss-up dynamics. Maine, North Carolina, and Nebraska follow closely due to similar polling volatility and turnout uncertainty in states with divided partisan leans. Late-cycle developments such as additional advertising waves, candidate debates, or shifts in the national environment could narrow or widen gaps among these races before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$36,518শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Alaska, and Ohio currently lead trader probabilities for the tightest 2026 Senate contest because multiple battlegrounds show projected margins under five points in recent polling aggregates. Open-seat races in Iowa and Michigan, along with contested holds in Texas and Alaska, feature nominees whose profiles and fundraising leave limited separation in forecasts from outlets tracking toss-up dynamics. Maine, North Carolina, and Nebraska follow closely due to similar polling volatility and turnout uncertainty in states with divided partisan leans. Late-cycle developments such as additional advertising waves, candidate debates, or shifts in the national environment could narrow or widen gaps among these races before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$36,518শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Iowa, Texas, Michigan, Alaska, and Ohio currently lead trader probabilities for the tightest 2026 Senate contest because multiple battlegrounds show projected margins under five points in recent polling aggregates. Open-seat races in Iowa and Michigan, along with contested holds in Texas and Alaska, feature nominees whose profiles and fundraising leave limited separation in forecasts from outlets tracking toss-up dynamics. Maine, North Carolina, and Nebraska follow closely due to similar polling volatility and turnout uncertainty in states with divided partisan leans. Late-cycle developments such as additional advertising waves, candidate debates, or shifts in the national environment could narrow or widen gaps among these races before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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