Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran, who narrowly flipped CA-45 in 2024, commands a dominant position ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with superior fundraising topping $3.8 million in receipts and cash on hand nearly tenfold that of top Republican challengers. This fragmented GOP field of five candidates—Mark Leonard, Chi Charlie Nguyen, Amy Phan West, Chuong Vo, and Tom Vo—dilutes opposition, boosting trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 87%. Recent redistricting has tilted the Orange County battleground leftward, per Cook Political Report's Lean D/Toss Up rating, providing Tran incumbency edge and path to November general election victory barring primary upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
11%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,651 Vol.
87%
Republican Party
$6,056 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran, who narrowly flipped CA-45 in 2024, commands a dominant position ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with superior fundraising topping $3.8 million in receipts and cash on hand nearly tenfold that of top Republican challengers. This fragmented GOP field of five candidates—Mark Leonard, Chi Charlie Nguyen, Amy Phan West, Chuong Vo, and Tom Vo—dilutes opposition, boosting trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 87%. Recent redistricting has tilted the Orange County battleground leftward, per Cook Political Report's Lean D/Toss Up rating, providing Tran incumbency edge and path to November general election victory barring primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,707শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran, who narrowly flipped CA-45 in 2024, commands a dominant position ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with superior fundraising topping $3.8 million in receipts and cash on hand nearly tenfold that of top Republican challengers. This fragmented GOP field of five candidates—Mark Leonard, Chi Charlie Nguyen, Amy Phan West, Chuong Vo, and Tom Vo—dilutes opposition, boosting trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 87%. Recent redistricting has tilted the Orange County battleground leftward, per Cook Political Report's Lean D/Toss Up rating, providing Tran incumbency edge and path to November general election victory barring primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$7,707শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran, who narrowly flipped CA-45 in 2024, commands a dominant position ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with superior fundraising topping $3.8 million in receipts and cash on hand nearly tenfold that of top Republican challengers. This fragmented GOP field of five candidates—Mark Leonard, Chi Charlie Nguyen, Amy Phan West, Chuong Vo, and Tom Vo—dilutes opposition, boosting trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 87%. Recent redistricting has tilted the Orange County battleground leftward, per Cook Political Report's Lean D/Toss Up rating, providing Tran incumbency edge and path to November general election victory barring primary upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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