Incumbent Rep. Robert Garcia (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain California's 42nd Congressional District, driven by his dominant 68.1% victory in the 2024 general election, substantial fundraising lead—nearly $2 million raised and $1.35 million cash on hand as of late March—and a Cook PVI of D+8 where Kamala Harris won 55% in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham—split the GOP vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave consolidating behind a top primary finisher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-42 House Election Winner
CA-42 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,057 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,058 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Robert Garcia (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain California's 42nd Congressional District, driven by his dominant 68.1% victory in the 2024 general election, substantial fundraising lead—nearly $2 million raised and $1.35 million cash on hand as of late March—and a Cook PVI of D+8 where Kamala Harris won 55% in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham—split the GOP vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave consolidating behind a top primary finisher.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,115শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Robert Garcia (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain California's 42nd Congressional District, driven by his dominant 68.1% victory in the 2024 general election, substantial fundraising lead—nearly $2 million raised and $1.35 million cash on hand as of late March—and a Cook PVI of D+8 where Kamala Harris won 55% in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham—split the GOP vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave consolidating behind a top primary finisher.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$6,115শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Robert Garcia (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain California's 42nd Congressional District, driven by his dominant 68.1% victory in the 2024 general election, substantial fundraising lead—nearly $2 million raised and $1.35 million cash on hand as of late March—and a Cook PVI of D+8 where Kamala Harris won 55% in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham—split the GOP vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave consolidating behind a top primary finisher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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