Incumbent Rep. Norma Torres (D) commands trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the CA-35 House seat due to her decade-long hold on this Inland Empire district with a D+8 Cook PVI, consistent general election margins above 57% against challenger Mike Cargile (R) in 2022 and 2024 despite a rightward swing—Kamala Harris won 52.4% there in 2024—and a massive fundraising edge ($381K cash-on-hand vs. Cargile's $2.5K as of March). All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Torres' labor union endorsements and weak GOP primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a Republican national midterm wave, Torres' withdrawal or scandal, or a high-profile GOP recruit consolidating support to advance past the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-35 House Election Winner
CA-35 House Election Winner
$25,251 Vol.
$25,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$25,251 Vol.
$25,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,522 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$9,729 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Norma Torres (D) commands trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the CA-35 House seat due to her decade-long hold on this Inland Empire district with a D+8 Cook PVI, consistent general election margins above 57% against challenger Mike Cargile (R) in 2022 and 2024 despite a rightward swing—Kamala Harris won 52.4% there in 2024—and a massive fundraising edge ($381K cash-on-hand vs. Cargile's $2.5K as of March). All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Torres' labor union endorsements and weak GOP primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a Republican national midterm wave, Torres' withdrawal or scandal, or a high-profile GOP recruit consolidating support to advance past the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$25,251শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Norma Torres (D) commands trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the CA-35 House seat due to her decade-long hold on this Inland Empire district with a D+8 Cook PVI, consistent general election margins above 57% against challenger Mike Cargile (R) in 2022 and 2024 despite a rightward swing—Kamala Harris won 52.4% there in 2024—and a massive fundraising edge ($381K cash-on-hand vs. Cargile's $2.5K as of March). All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Torres' labor union endorsements and weak GOP primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a Republican national midterm wave, Torres' withdrawal or scandal, or a high-profile GOP recruit consolidating support to advance past the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$25,251শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Norma Torres (D) commands trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the CA-35 House seat due to her decade-long hold on this Inland Empire district with a D+8 Cook PVI, consistent general election margins above 57% against challenger Mike Cargile (R) in 2022 and 2024 despite a rightward swing—Kamala Harris won 52.4% there in 2024—and a massive fundraising edge ($381K cash-on-hand vs. Cargile's $2.5K as of March). All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by Torres' labor union endorsements and weak GOP primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a Republican national midterm wave, Torres' withdrawal or scandal, or a high-profile GOP recruit consolidating support to advance past the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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