California's 31st congressional district features a strong structural Democratic advantage, reflected in its Solid D rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index that favors the party by roughly eight points. Incumbent Gil Cisneros, who secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi in the June 2 top-two primary, with the general election set for November 3. This entrenched lean, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns in the Inland Empire district, underpins traders' 92.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters local voting behavior before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,300 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district features a strong structural Democratic advantage, reflected in its Solid D rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index that favors the party by roughly eight points. Incumbent Gil Cisneros, who secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi in the June 2 top-two primary, with the general election set for November 3. This entrenched lean, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns in the Inland Empire district, underpins traders' 92.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters local voting behavior before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,413শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district features a strong structural Democratic advantage, reflected in its Solid D rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index that favors the party by roughly eight points. Incumbent Gil Cisneros, who secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi in the June 2 top-two primary, with the general election set for November 3. This entrenched lean, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns in the Inland Empire district, underpins traders' 92.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters local voting behavior before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$7,413শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 31st congressional district features a strong structural Democratic advantage, reflected in its Solid D rating from nonpartisan forecasters and a partisan voting index that favors the party by roughly eight points. Incumbent Gil Cisneros, who secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces Republican challengers Eric Ching and Erskine Levi in the June 2 top-two primary, with the general election set for November 3. This entrenched lean, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns in the Inland Empire district, underpins traders' 92.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters local voting behavior before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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