Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's dominance in this deep blue East Bay seat with a strong partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 65.1% there in 2024. Unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections reflect the district's voter registration edge and DeSaulnier's fundraising superiority ($656,000 cash on hand versus under $20,000 combined for three Republican primary challengers). The June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to elevate a competitive GOP contender. Scenarios altering this include a late scandal, health event for the incumbent, or massive national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$12,353 Vol.
$12,353 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,353 Vol.
$12,353 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's dominance in this deep blue East Bay seat with a strong partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 65.1% there in 2024. Unanimous Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections reflect the district's voter registration edge and DeSaulnier's fundraising superiority ($656,000 cash on hand versus under $20,000 combined for three Republican primary challengers). The June 2 top-two primary is unlikely to elevate a competitive GOP contender. Scenarios altering this include a late scandal, health event for the incumbent, or massive national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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