Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads Polymarket odds at 98% to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, alongside challenger Eric Jones (D) at 90%, as trader consensus anticipates both Democrats topping a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent amid split GOP votes. Recent catalysts include the Blue Dog Coalition PAC reserving $700,000 in ads and Article One super PAC deploying $30,000 to bolster Thompson against Jones, a well-funded venture capitalist who has raised over $3.2 million through March, outpacing Thompson's $2.9 million. Post-redistricting via Proposition 50, the Solid Democratic district favors their advancement, with ballots already mailed and early voting underway.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$29,383 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
Trevor Merrell
10%
John Wesley Tyler
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
$29,383 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$7,050 Vol.
98%
Eric Jones
$4,820 Vol.
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 Vol.
11%
Trevor Merrell
$9,614 Vol.
10%
John Wesley Tyler
$865 Vol.
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,402 Vol.
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,525 Vol.
1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads Polymarket odds at 98% to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, alongside challenger Eric Jones (D) at 90%, as trader consensus anticipates both Democrats topping a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent amid split GOP votes. Recent catalysts include the Blue Dog Coalition PAC reserving $700,000 in ads and Article One super PAC deploying $30,000 to bolster Thompson against Jones, a well-funded venture capitalist who has raised over $3.2 million through March, outpacing Thompson's $2.9 million. Post-redistricting via Proposition 50, the Solid Democratic district favors their advancement, with ballots already mailed and early voting underway.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,383শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads Polymarket odds at 98% to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, alongside challenger Eric Jones (D) at 90%, as trader consensus anticipates both Democrats topping a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent amid split GOP votes. Recent catalysts include the Blue Dog Coalition PAC reserving $700,000 in ads and Article One super PAC deploying $30,000 to bolster Thompson against Jones, a well-funded venture capitalist who has raised over $3.2 million through March, outpacing Thompson's $2.9 million. Post-redistricting via Proposition 50, the Solid Democratic district favors their advancement, with ballots already mailed and early voting underway.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$29,383শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads Polymarket odds at 98% to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, alongside challenger Eric Jones (D) at 90%, as trader consensus anticipates both Democrats topping a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent amid split GOP votes. Recent catalysts include the Blue Dog Coalition PAC reserving $700,000 in ads and Article One super PAC deploying $30,000 to bolster Thompson against Jones, a well-funded venture capitalist who has raised over $3.2 million through March, outpacing Thompson's $2.9 million. Post-redistricting via Proposition 50, the Solid Democratic district favors their advancement, with ballots already mailed and early voting underway.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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