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নির্বাচন·প্রাথমিক

CA-04 Primary Winners

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নির্বাচন·প্রাথমিক

CA-04 Primary Winners

$20,755 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$20,755 Vol.

Polymarket

Mike Thompson

$6,502 Vol.

98%

Eric Jones

$4,052 Vol.

95%

John Wesley Tyler

$618 Vol.

32%

Trevor Merrell

$6,288 Vol.

15%

Heath Fulkerson

$252 Vol.

10%

Sharon Brown

$1,605 Vol.

6%

Mandy Ghusar

$728 Vol.

6%

Laurie MacKenzie

$710 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a formidable Democratic primary challenge from well-funded challenger Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. The North Bay district, redrawn via Proposition 50 to a D+17 Cook PVI including wine country and Yuba-Sutter areas, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, John Mackenzie, Ray Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach, potentially splitting anti-incumbent votes. Certified candidates were announced March 26 following the March 6 filing deadline; latest FEC reports show Jones raising $3.2 million to Thompson's $2.9 million as of March 31. No polls available; early voting starts May.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$20,755
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a formidable Democratic primary challenge from well-funded challenger Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. The North Bay district, redrawn via Proposition 50 to a D+17 Cook PVI including wine country and Yuba-Sutter areas, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, John Mackenzie, Ray Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach, potentially splitting anti-incumbent votes. Certified candidates were announced March 26 following the March 6 filing deadline; latest FEC reports show Jones raising $3.2 million to Thompson's $2.9 million as of March 31. No polls available; early voting starts May.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$20,755
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"CA-04 Primary Winners" হলো Polymarket-এ 8 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Mike Thompson" 98%-এ, তারপর "Eric Jones" 95%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "CA-04 Primary Winners" মোট $20.8K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Feb 26, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"CA-04 Primary Winners"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 8 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"CA-04 Primary Winners"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Mike Thompson" 98%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 98% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "Eric Jones" 95%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"CA-04 Primary Winners"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।