Incumbent Mike Thompson faces a June 2 top-two primary in California's strongly Democratic 4th District, where his long tenure since 1999 and the district's partisan lean have positioned him as the consensus frontrunner among traders. Self-funded Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who has spent heavily on the race alongside Thompson, has drawn significant attention and fundraising, making both the clear leaders to advance regardless of party. Multiple Republican candidates and one independent filed by the March deadline but trail far behind in resources and visibility. No major developments have shifted the field in the final weeks, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout in the solidly blue district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$35,727 Vol.
Mike Thompson
93%
Eric Jones
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$35,727 Vol.
Mike Thompson
93%
Eric Jones
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson faces a June 2 top-two primary in California's strongly Democratic 4th District, where his long tenure since 1999 and the district's partisan lean have positioned him as the consensus frontrunner among traders. Self-funded Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who has spent heavily on the race alongside Thompson, has drawn significant attention and fundraising, making both the clear leaders to advance regardless of party. Multiple Republican candidates and one independent filed by the March deadline but trail far behind in resources and visibility. No major developments have shifted the field in the final weeks, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout in the solidly blue district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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