Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% to win California's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven primarily by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which redrew boundaries to include Democratic-leaning Santa Rosa while removing Republican strongholds like Modoc, Siskiyou, and Yuba-Sutter counties—yielding a simulated 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +12.4 points. Strong Democratic contenders, including state Senate President pro tempore Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney, bolster this positioning amid fundraising edges and endorsements like The Sacramento Bee for McGuire. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary under mixed old/new map rules sets the general matchup; a Republican sweep or Democratic scandal could challenge odds, though structural advantages persist.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-01 House Election Winner
CA-01 House Election Winner
$22,023 Vol.
$22,023 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
5%
$22,023 Vol.
$22,023 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,151 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$7,873 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% to win California's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven primarily by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which redrew boundaries to include Democratic-leaning Santa Rosa while removing Republican strongholds like Modoc, Siskiyou, and Yuba-Sutter counties—yielding a simulated 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +12.4 points. Strong Democratic contenders, including state Senate President pro tempore Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney, bolster this positioning amid fundraising edges and endorsements like The Sacramento Bee for McGuire. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary under mixed old/new map rules sets the general matchup; a Republican sweep or Democratic scandal could challenge odds, though structural advantages persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$22,023শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% to win California's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven primarily by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which redrew boundaries to include Democratic-leaning Santa Rosa while removing Republican strongholds like Modoc, Siskiyou, and Yuba-Sutter counties—yielding a simulated 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +12.4 points. Strong Democratic contenders, including state Senate President pro tempore Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney, bolster this positioning amid fundraising edges and endorsements like The Sacramento Bee for McGuire. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary under mixed old/new map rules sets the general matchup; a Republican sweep or Democratic scandal could challenge odds, though structural advantages persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$22,023শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% to win California's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven primarily by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, which redrew boundaries to include Democratic-leaning Santa Rosa while removing Republican strongholds like Modoc, Siskiyou, and Yuba-Sutter counties—yielding a simulated 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +12.4 points. Strong Democratic contenders, including state Senate President pro tempore Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney, bolster this positioning amid fundraising edges and endorsements like The Sacramento Bee for McGuire. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary under mixed old/new map rules sets the general matchup; a Republican sweep or Democratic scandal could challenge odds, though structural advantages persist.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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