Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in São Paulo first-round polling for the October 4 presidential vote, with recent surveys from Futura and Quaest showing him at 31–37% against Lula’s 30–33%, often within the margin of error but numerically ahead. As the largest electoral college, São Paulo amplifies the impact of right-leaning consolidation behind the PL nominee following his July convention and August campaign launch. Fragmented support for other candidates—including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, who register in the low single digits—further concentrates preferences. National trends and state-specific data have reinforced trader consensus on these probabilities, with limited recent developments altering the positioning ahead of scheduled debates and free airtime.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFlavio Bolsonaro 89%
Lula 5.6%
Renan Santos <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$22,853 Vol.
$22,853 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
89%
Lula
6%
Renan Santos
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 89%
Lula 5.6%
Renan Santos <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$22,853 Vol.
$22,853 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$6,923 Vol.
89%
Lula
$8,483 Vol.
6%
Renan Santos
$1,365 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$714 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$543 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$423 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$502 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$502 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$497 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$517 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$503 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$693 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in São Paulo first-round polling for the October 4 presidential vote, with recent surveys from Futura and Quaest showing him at 31–37% against Lula’s 30–33%, often within the margin of error but numerically ahead. As the largest electoral college, São Paulo amplifies the impact of right-leaning consolidation behind the PL nominee following his July convention and August campaign launch. Fragmented support for other candidates—including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, who register in the low single digits—further concentrates preferences. National trends and state-specific data have reinforced trader consensus on these probabilities, with limited recent developments altering the positioning ahead of scheduled debates and free airtime.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,853শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in São Paulo first-round polling for the October 4 presidential vote, with recent surveys from Futura and Quaest showing him at 31–37% against Lula’s 30–33%, often within the margin of error but numerically ahead. As the largest electoral college, São Paulo amplifies the impact of right-leaning consolidation behind the PL nominee following his July convention and August campaign launch. Fragmented support for other candidates—including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, who register in the low single digits—further concentrates preferences. National trends and state-specific data have reinforced trader consensus on these probabilities, with limited recent developments altering the positioning ahead of scheduled debates and free airtime.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$22,853শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in São Paulo first-round polling for the October 4 presidential vote, with recent surveys from Futura and Quaest showing him at 31–37% against Lula’s 30–33%, often within the margin of error but numerically ahead. As the largest electoral college, São Paulo amplifies the impact of right-leaning consolidation behind the PL nominee following his July convention and August campaign launch. Fragmented support for other candidates—including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, who register in the low single digits—further concentrates preferences. National trends and state-specific data have reinforced trader consensus on these probabilities, with limited recent developments altering the positioning ahead of scheduled debates and free airtime.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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