Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling for the October 4 election, with recent surveys from Veritá and Quaest showing him at 45–58% against Lula at 25% and single-digit support for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury. The state’s conservative electorate and strong prior support for the Liberal Party candidate’s family have sustained this positioning, reinforced by local disapproval of the incumbent administration. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects these structural factors and limited movement among challengers. Late shifts could occur through unexpected consolidation behind another right-wing name or turnout surprises, though current data indicate few realistic pathways to alter the outcome before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFlavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Lula <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$16,493 Vol.
$16,493 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
98%

Lula
1%

Edmilson Costa
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Samara
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Lula <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$16,493 Vol.
$16,493 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
98%

Lula
1%

Edmilson Costa
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Samara
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Zema
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling for the October 4 election, with recent surveys from Veritá and Quaest showing him at 45–58% against Lula at 25% and single-digit support for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury. The state’s conservative electorate and strong prior support for the Liberal Party candidate’s family have sustained this positioning, reinforced by local disapproval of the incumbent administration. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects these structural factors and limited movement among challengers. Late shifts could occur through unexpected consolidation behind another right-wing name or turnout surprises, though current data indicate few realistic pathways to alter the outcome before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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