Flavio Bolsonaro holds an 80.5% implied probability of finishing first in Rio de Janeiro during the October 2026 first round, reflecting sustained local backing in his home state as the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys, including Datafolha and Real Time Big Data from late August and early September, place him at 36-41% among Rio voters, ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula at 34-37%, while other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in single digits. The start of free television and radio advertising in late August, combined with national polling trends showing a narrowing gap, has reinforced trader focus on Bolsonaro family strength in the state’s electorate ahead of the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFlavio Bolsonaro 81%
Lula 16%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$21,340 Vol.
$21,340 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
81%
Lula
16%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 81%
Lula 16%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$21,340 Vol.
$21,340 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,226 Vol.
81%
Lula
$6,012 Vol.
16%
Pablo Marçal
$1,258 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$373 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$747 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$639 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$373 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$375 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$433 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds an 80.5% implied probability of finishing first in Rio de Janeiro during the October 2026 first round, reflecting sustained local backing in his home state as the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys, including Datafolha and Real Time Big Data from late August and early September, place him at 36-41% among Rio voters, ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula at 34-37%, while other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in single digits. The start of free television and radio advertising in late August, combined with national polling trends showing a narrowing gap, has reinforced trader focus on Bolsonaro family strength in the state’s electorate ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,340শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds an 80.5% implied probability of finishing first in Rio de Janeiro during the October 2026 first round, reflecting sustained local backing in his home state as the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys, including Datafolha and Real Time Big Data from late August and early September, place him at 36-41% among Rio voters, ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula at 34-37%, while other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in single digits. The start of free television and radio advertising in late August, combined with national polling trends showing a narrowing gap, has reinforced trader focus on Bolsonaro family strength in the state’s electorate ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$21,340শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro holds an 80.5% implied probability of finishing first in Rio de Janeiro during the October 2026 first round, reflecting sustained local backing in his home state as the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys, including Datafolha and Real Time Big Data from late August and early September, place him at 36-41% among Rio voters, ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula at 34-37%, while other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in single digits. The start of free television and radio advertising in late August, combined with national polling trends showing a narrowing gap, has reinforced trader focus on Bolsonaro family strength in the state’s electorate ahead of the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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