Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the former president, holds a dominant position in Paraná for first place in the October 4 first round due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and consolidation of Bolsonarista voters behind the family legacy. Recent national polling trends showing him competitive with or ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, combined with an ongoing institutional crisis at the Supreme Court that has weighed on the president's standing, have reinforced trader consensus on his regional strength. A crowded field of lower-polling alternatives further fragments any opposition. Late developments such as shifts in evangelical or agribusiness turnout, unexpected alliances among centrist candidates, or major last-minute legal or health events could still narrow the gap before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFlavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 2.9%
Renan Santos 1.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
95%
Lula
3%
Renan Santos
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Zema
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 2.9%
Renan Santos 1.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,835 Vol.
95%
Lula
$346 Vol.
3%
Renan Santos
$357 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$483 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$537 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$547 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$429 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$608 Vol.
1%
Zema
$538 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$532 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$587 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$578 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the former president, holds a dominant position in Paraná for first place in the October 4 first round due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and consolidation of Bolsonarista voters behind the family legacy. Recent national polling trends showing him competitive with or ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, combined with an ongoing institutional crisis at the Supreme Court that has weighed on the president's standing, have reinforced trader consensus on his regional strength. A crowded field of lower-polling alternatives further fragments any opposition. Late developments such as shifts in evangelical or agribusiness turnout, unexpected alliances among centrist candidates, or major last-minute legal or health events could still narrow the gap before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,876শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the former president, holds a dominant position in Paraná for first place in the October 4 first round due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and consolidation of Bolsonarista voters behind the family legacy. Recent national polling trends showing him competitive with or ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, combined with an ongoing institutional crisis at the Supreme Court that has weighed on the president's standing, have reinforced trader consensus on his regional strength. A crowded field of lower-polling alternatives further fragments any opposition. Late developments such as shifts in evangelical or agribusiness turnout, unexpected alliances among centrist candidates, or major last-minute legal or health events could still narrow the gap before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$9,876শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the former president, holds a dominant position in Paraná for first place in the October 4 first round due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and consolidation of Bolsonarista voters behind the family legacy. Recent national polling trends showing him competitive with or ahead of incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, combined with an ongoing institutional crisis at the Supreme Court that has weighed on the president's standing, have reinforced trader consensus on his regional strength. A crowded field of lower-polling alternatives further fragments any opposition. Late developments such as shifts in evangelical or agribusiness turnout, unexpected alliances among centrist candidates, or major last-minute legal or health events could still narrow the gap before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা