Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, consistently registering 37–43% support in recent surveys from Indexa, Quaest, and Real Time, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–33%. The president's position reflects sustained backing in the northern state, where his administration posts approval ratings near 52% and draws strength from lower-income and female voters. Other contenders, including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, remain in single digits. Traders price Lula at 95% to finish first, reflecting the consistent margin across multiple pollsters. A late consolidation of opposition votes behind Bolsonaro or an unexpected surge by an outsider could narrow the gap before the October 4 vote, though current data shows limited movement in that direction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.2%
Ronaldo Caiado 1.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$17,063 Vol.
$17,063 Vol.

Lula
95%

Flavio Bolsonaro
4%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Samara
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Zema
<1%
Lula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.2%
Ronaldo Caiado 1.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$17,063 Vol.
$17,063 Vol.

Lula
95%

Flavio Bolsonaro
4%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Samara
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Zema
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, consistently registering 37–43% support in recent surveys from Indexa, Quaest, and Real Time, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–33%. The president's position reflects sustained backing in the northern state, where his administration posts approval ratings near 52% and draws strength from lower-income and female voters. Other contenders, including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, remain in single digits. Traders price Lula at 95% to finish first, reflecting the consistent margin across multiple pollsters. A late consolidation of opposition votes behind Bolsonaro or an unexpected surge by an outsider could narrow the gap before the October 4 vote, though current data shows limited movement in that direction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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