Record presales exceeding $65 million domestically and $125 million worldwide have positioned the 400m+ outcome as the clear market leader at 58.5% implied probability, outpacing 360m-400m at 21.5%. Strong early demand for premium formats, driven by the Russo brothers' return and Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, has fueled this momentum ahead of the December 18 release. Projections range widely from $260-300 million in conservative estimates to over $400 million in bullish ones, with the December 18 clash against Dune: Part Three adding uncertainty. Formal industry tracking expected in late November and preview data will likely refine these odds further.