President Donald Trump’s April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin rebuilding Alcatraz as a federal maximum-security prison has shaped trader views on the “reopened in 2026” market. The proposal, part of the fiscal 2027 budget, follows the president’s earlier directive to the Bureau of Prisons and other agencies to restore the former facility for high-risk offenders. Significant obstacles remain, however, including the need for congressional appropriations, substantial logistical and environmental hurdles at the National Park Service site, and opposition from California officials and local stakeholders. These factors have kept the implied probability of a 2026 reopening at just 7 percent for the “Yes” outcome, reflecting the extended timeline and procedural requirements typical of major federal prison projects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin rebuilding Alcatraz as a federal maximum-security prison has shaped trader views on the “reopened in 2026” market. The proposal, part of the fiscal 2027 budget, follows the president’s earlier directive to the Bureau of Prisons and other agencies to restore the former facility for high-risk offenders. Significant obstacles remain, however, including the need for congressional appropriations, substantial logistical and environmental hurdles at the National Park Service site, and opposition from California officials and local stakeholders. These factors have kept the implied probability of a 2026 reopening at just 7 percent for the “Yes” outcome, reflecting the extended timeline and procedural requirements typical of major federal prison projects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,151শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin rebuilding Alcatraz as a federal maximum-security prison has shaped trader views on the “reopened in 2026” market. The proposal, part of the fiscal 2027 budget, follows the president’s earlier directive to the Bureau of Prisons and other agencies to restore the former facility for high-risk offenders. Significant obstacles remain, however, including the need for congressional appropriations, substantial logistical and environmental hurdles at the National Park Service site, and opposition from California officials and local stakeholders. These factors have kept the implied probability of a 2026 reopening at just 7 percent for the “Yes” outcome, reflecting the extended timeline and procedural requirements typical of major federal prison projects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,151শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin rebuilding Alcatraz as a federal maximum-security prison has shaped trader views on the “reopened in 2026” market. The proposal, part of the fiscal 2027 budget, follows the president’s earlier directive to the Bureau of Prisons and other agencies to restore the former facility for high-risk offenders. Significant obstacles remain, however, including the need for congressional appropriations, substantial logistical and environmental hurdles at the National Park Service site, and opposition from California officials and local stakeholders. These factors have kept the implied probability of a 2026 reopening at just 7 percent for the “Yes” outcome, reflecting the extended timeline and procedural requirements typical of major federal prison projects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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