Recent polling for Aguascalientes ahead of the 2027 state elections shows PAN holding a lead in voter intention, consistent with its position as the incumbent party under Governor Tere Jiménez, while Morena trails but has recorded gains in some surveys. Morena's recent selection of Nora Ruvalcaba as its state coordinator and internal primary results have clarified its candidate profile. Discussions within opposition parties about potential alliances, including with Movimiento Ciudadano, add uncertainty to seat projections for the state congress. The current trader consensus reflects these trends alongside the state's historical voting patterns and the extended timeline until election day, leaving room for shifts from candidate definitions, coalition agreements, or further polling movements.