Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 5.7% drop in energy prices and flat core readings, establishing a disinflationary baseline ahead of the July release scheduled for August 12. Traders assign 60.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% monthly headline increase and 35.5% to flat, reflecting expectations of energy price stabilization, potential goods price rebounds, and ongoing shelter moderation amid stable labor conditions. These odds embed aggregated market views on base effects and recent component trends rather than guarantees, with smaller probabilities on deeper declines highlighting limited scope for further downside surprises. Key swing factors include upcoming retail sales and producer price data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥0.1% 61%
0.0% 36%
-0.1% 5.2%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$165,481 Vol.
$165,481 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
5%
0.0%
36%
≥0.1%
61%
≥0.1% 61%
0.0% 36%
-0.1% 5.2%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$165,481 Vol.
$165,481 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$12,471 Vol.
1%
-0.6%
$10,025 Vol.
<1%
-0.5%
$5,843 Vol.
<1%
-0.4%
$5,782 Vol.
<1%
-0.3%
$6,090 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$6,650 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$12,350 Vol.
5%
0.0%
$29,775 Vol.
36%
≥0.1%
$76,496 Vol.
61%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 5.7% drop in energy prices and flat core readings, establishing a disinflationary baseline ahead of the July release scheduled for August 12. Traders assign 60.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% monthly headline increase and 35.5% to flat, reflecting expectations of energy price stabilization, potential goods price rebounds, and ongoing shelter moderation amid stable labor conditions. These odds embed aggregated market views on base effects and recent component trends rather than guarantees, with smaller probabilities on deeper declines highlighting limited scope for further downside surprises. Key swing factors include upcoming retail sales and producer price data.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$165,481শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 5.7% drop in energy prices and flat core readings, establishing a disinflationary baseline ahead of the July release scheduled for August 12. Traders assign 60.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% monthly headline increase and 35.5% to flat, reflecting expectations of energy price stabilization, potential goods price rebounds, and ongoing shelter moderation amid stable labor conditions. These odds embed aggregated market views on base effects and recent component trends rather than guarantees, with smaller probabilities on deeper declines highlighting limited scope for further downside surprises. Key swing factors include upcoming retail sales and producer price data.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$165,481শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 5.7% drop in energy prices and flat core readings, establishing a disinflationary baseline ahead of the July release scheduled for August 12. Traders assign 60.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% monthly headline increase and 35.5% to flat, reflecting expectations of energy price stabilization, potential goods price rebounds, and ongoing shelter moderation amid stable labor conditions. These odds embed aggregated market views on base effects and recent component trends rather than guarantees, with smaller probabilities on deeper declines highlighting limited scope for further downside surprises. Key swing factors include upcoming retail sales and producer price data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা