Recent model releases and leaderboard positioning on the style-controlled Text Arena drive the tightly matched probabilities for second place among leading labs. OpenAI’s early September rollout of GPT-6 Astra has elevated its standing, while Meta benefits from rapid iteration on open-weight Llama variants that sustain strong user engagement and developer adoption. Anthropic maintains competitive Claude releases but trails slightly in recent arena momentum, and Google’s Gemini 3 series updates provide incremental gains without decisive separation. Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot show capability parity on some benchmarks yet face lower visibility in Western arena voting. With resolution days away, the next model drops or benchmark shifts could quickly reorder the field behind whichever lab claims the top spot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMeta 38%
OpenAI 33%
Anthropic 18.3%
Google 11%
$57,103 Vol.
$57,103 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Meta
38%
OpenAI
33%
Anthropic
18%
11%
Z.ai
5%
Moonshot
3%
Alibaba
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta 38%
OpenAI 33%
Anthropic 18.3%
Google 11%
$57,103 Vol.
$57,103 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Meta
$17,323 Vol.
38%
OpenAI
$9,359 Vol.
33%
Anthropic
$2,283 Vol.
18%
$8,449 Vol.
11%
Z.ai
$1,152 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$1,276 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$4,560 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$979 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$1,228 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$968 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$774 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$996 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$645 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$460 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$820 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$665 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$733 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$831 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard positioning on the style-controlled Text Arena drive the tightly matched probabilities for second place among leading labs. OpenAI’s early September rollout of GPT-6 Astra has elevated its standing, while Meta benefits from rapid iteration on open-weight Llama variants that sustain strong user engagement and developer adoption. Anthropic maintains competitive Claude releases but trails slightly in recent arena momentum, and Google’s Gemini 3 series updates provide incremental gains without decisive separation. Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot show capability parity on some benchmarks yet face lower visibility in Western arena voting. With resolution days away, the next model drops or benchmark shifts could quickly reorder the field behind whichever lab claims the top spot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$57,103শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard positioning on the style-controlled Text Arena drive the tightly matched probabilities for second place among leading labs. OpenAI’s early September rollout of GPT-6 Astra has elevated its standing, while Meta benefits from rapid iteration on open-weight Llama variants that sustain strong user engagement and developer adoption. Anthropic maintains competitive Claude releases but trails slightly in recent arena momentum, and Google’s Gemini 3 series updates provide incremental gains without decisive separation. Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot show capability parity on some benchmarks yet face lower visibility in Western arena voting. With resolution days away, the next model drops or benchmark shifts could quickly reorder the field behind whichever lab claims the top spot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$57,103শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and leaderboard positioning on the style-controlled Text Arena drive the tightly matched probabilities for second place among leading labs. OpenAI’s early September rollout of GPT-6 Astra has elevated its standing, while Meta benefits from rapid iteration on open-weight Llama variants that sustain strong user engagement and developer adoption. Anthropic maintains competitive Claude releases but trails slightly in recent arena momentum, and Google’s Gemini 3 series updates provide incremental gains without decisive separation. Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot show capability parity on some benchmarks yet face lower visibility in Western arena voting. With resolution days away, the next model drops or benchmark shifts could quickly reorder the field behind whichever lab claims the top spot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা