When will the Government shutdown end?

November 8-11

40%

November 12-15

54%

November 16+

November 8-11

40%

November 12-15

54%

November 16+

$19m Vol.

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

72%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

<1%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

72%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

<1%

$63m Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

$336k Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

12%

March 31, 2026

23%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

12%

March 31, 2026

23%

$8m Vol.

Steelers

100%

Chargers

Live

$4m Vol.

•NFL

111

Timberwolves

100%

Kings

Live

$652k Vol.

•NBA

Jets

40%

Ducks

61%

Live

$568k Vol.

•NHL

Avalanche

79%

Canucks

21%

Live

$388k Vol.

•NHL

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

23%

chance

$1m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Kansas City

14%

Los Angeles R

11%

Philadelphia

10%

Detroit

Seattle

Kansas City

14%

Los Angeles R

11%

Philadelphia

10%

Detroit

Seattle

$517m Vol.

What will Trump say during Syria President events on November 10?

Israel / Gaza 6+ times

72%

Sanction 2+ times

84%

Abraham Accords

79%

Eight wars

73%

ISIS

79%

Israel / Gaza 6+ times

72%

Sanction 2+ times

84%

Abraham Accords

79%

Eight wars

73%

ISIS

79%

$81k Vol.

What day will the Government Shutdown end?

November 11

24%

November 12

36%

November 13

14%

November 14

11%

November 17

November 11

24%

November 12

36%

November 13

14%

November 14

11%

November 17

NEW

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? card icon

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

chance

$246k Vol.

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

chance

$172k Vol.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

18%

chance

$96k Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

65%

chance

$670k Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

70%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

José Antonio Kast

70%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

$45m Vol.

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 15

94%

November 30

99%

December 31

100%

January 31

100%

November 15

94%

November 30

99%

December 31

100%

January 31

100%

$7m Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 15

November 22

72%

November 30

84%

December 31

96%

November 15

November 22

72%

November 30

84%

December 31

96%

$9m Vol.

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

25%

chance

$64k Vol.

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

chance

$2m Vol.

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

49%

chance

$71k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$26m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

November 14

November 30

64%

December 31

87%

November 14

November 30

64%

December 31

87%

$1m Vol.

Jaguars

100%

Texans

$4m Vol.

•NFL•Nov 09, 6:00 PM

Ravens

100%

Vikings

$2m Vol.

•NFL•Nov 09, 6:00 PM

Patriots

100%

Buccaneers

$925k Vol.

•NFL•Nov 09, 6:00 PM

Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory

<1%

0-10%

98%

10-20%

20-30%

<1%

30%+

<1%

0-10%

98%

10-20%

20-30%

<1%

30%+

<1%

$10m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

Wicked: For Good

62%

Zootopia 2

16%

A Minecraft Movie

10%

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

Wicked: For Good

62%

Zootopia 2

16%

A Minecraft Movie

10%

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

$66m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

59%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

J.D. Vance

59%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

$83m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

55%

Man City

31%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

Arsenal

55%

Man City

31%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

$94m Vol.

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Yanez vs. Quiñonez

50%

Croden vs. Santos

50%

Valentin vs. McVey

50%

Yanez vs. Quiñonez

50%

Croden vs. Santos

50%

Valentin vs. McVey

50%

$3m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 125,000

10%

↑ 120,000

20%

↑ 115,000

46%

↓ 95,000

22%

↓ 90,000

12%

↑ 125,000

10%

↑ 120,000

20%

↑ 115,000

46%

↓ 95,000

22%

↓ 90,000

12%

$17m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 4 - November 11, 2025?

100-119

120-139

40%

140-159

45%

160-179

10%

180-199

100-119

120-139

40%

140-159

45%

160-179

10%

180-199

$8m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

$286m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

$115m Vol.

Cardinals

25%

Seahawks

75%

$3m Vol.

•NFL•Nov 09, 9:05 PM

Rockets

25%

Bucks

75%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Nov 09, 8:30 PM

Saints

25%

Panthers

75%

$1m Vol.

•NFL•Nov 09, 6:00 PM

Thunder

Grizzlies

100%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Nov 09, 11:00 PM

•

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