Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

9%

chance

$32m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$373m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

17%

chance

$9m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

30%

chance

$3m Vol.

Hanwha Life Esports

24%

T1

77%

Game 3 • Best of 3

$1m Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

PARIVISION

76%

ENCE

25%

Game 2 • Best of 3

$377k Vol.

•COUNTER STRIKE

Team WE

54%

EDward Gaming

46%

Game 2 • Best of 3

$203k Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

Spirit

92%

Sinners

9%

$58k Vol.

•COUNTER STRIKE• 12:30 PM

Pelicans

41%

Pacers

60%

$835k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?

500-519

33%

520-539

47%

500-519

33%

520-539

47%

$15m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

7%

January 23

21%

January 18

7%

January 23

21%

$56m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

38%

chance

$3m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

$676m Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

17%

March 31

39%

January 31

17%

March 31

39%

$125k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

73%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

15%

António José Seguro (IND)

73%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

15%

$111m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

25%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pam Bondi

25%

Kristi Noem

19%

$991k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

44%

Kevin Hassett

36%

Kevin Warsh

44%

Kevin Hassett

36%

$193m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

24%

chance

$11m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

5%

May 14

8%

March 31

5%

May 14

8%

$426k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

26%

chance

$2m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 17

4%

January 18

3%

January 17

4%

January 18

3%

$6m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$191m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

43%

chance

$7m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$105k Vol.

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