Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Time 2025 Person of the Year card icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Jensen Huang

18%

Jensen Huang

18%

$33m Vol.

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Fed decision in December? card icon

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

97%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

97%

$332m Vol.

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Miami Mayoral Election card icon

Miami Mayoral Election

Eileen Higgins

94%

Emilio Gonzalez

4%

Eileen Higgins

94%

Emilio Gonzalez

4%

$70k Vol.

Heat

56%

Magic

44%

$3m Vol.

•NBA• 11:00 PM

Ducks

49%

Penguins

52%

$716k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Golden Knights

56%

Islanders

45%

$584k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Knicks

66%

Raptors

35%

$776k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:30 AM
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? card icon

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

December 11

78%

December 12

5%

December 11

78%

December 12

5%

$108k Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?

420-439

16%

440-459

18%

420-439

16%

440-459

18%

$6m Vol.

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$51m Vol.

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Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

11%

March 31, 2026

34%

December 31, 2025

11%

March 31, 2026

34%

$23m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

70%

Kevin Warsh

13%

Kevin Hassett

70%

Kevin Warsh

13%

$21m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

20%

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

20%

$53k Vol.

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College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

$3m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

$35m Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

$784k Vol.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 9

1%

December 13

91%

December 9

1%

December 13

91%

$1m Vol.

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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

28%

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

28%

$541k Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 110,000

14%

↑ 105,000

22%

↑ 110,000

14%

↑ 105,000

22%

$95m Vol.

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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

16%

England

13%

Spain

16%

England

13%

$16m Vol.