When will the Government shutdown end?

November 8-11

November 12-15

31%

November 16+

61%

November 8-11

November 12-15

31%

November 16+

61%

$14m Vol.

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

71%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

71%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

$48m Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

$290k Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

17%

March 31, 2026

32%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

17%

March 31, 2026

32%

$8m Vol.

Union Berlin

23%

Bayern München

75%

Live

$402k Vol.

•BUNDESLIGA

West Ham

52%

Burnley FC

22%

Live

$255k Vol.

•EPL

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Bonfim vs. Padilla

53%

Yanez vs. Quiñonez

50%

Hokit vs. Gimenis

78%

Croden vs. Santos

50%

Valentin vs. McVey

51%

Bonfim vs. Padilla

53%

Yanez vs. Quiñonez

50%

Hokit vs. Gimenis

78%

Croden vs. Santos

50%

Valentin vs. McVey

51%

$301k Vol.

Hoosiers

84%

Nittany Lions

16%

$355k Vol.

•CFB• 5:00 PM

Bulldogs

76%

Bulldogs

25%

$335k Vol.

•CFB• 5:00 PM

Sunderland AFC

12%

Arsenal

68%

$353k Vol.

•EPL• 5:30 PM

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

24%

chance

$956k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Kansas City

14%

Buffalo

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Detroit

Los Angeles R

Kansas City

14%

Buffalo

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Detroit

Los Angeles R

$511m Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? card icon

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

chance

$131k Vol.

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

20%

chance

$90k Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

78%

chance

$640k Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

71%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

José Antonio Kast

71%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

$44m Vol.

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 15

38%

November 30

89%

December 31

98%

January 31

99%

November 15

38%

November 30

89%

December 31

98%

January 31

99%

$4m Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

81%

December 31

98%

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

81%

December 31

98%

$8m Vol.

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

25%

chance

$62k Vol.

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

chance

$2m Vol.

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

53%

chance

$66k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$26m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

November 14

16%

November 30

68%

December 31

90%

November 14

16%

November 30

68%

December 31

90%

$1m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?

100,000

99%

102,000

46%

104,000

106,000

<1%

108,000

<1%

100,000

99%

102,000

46%

104,000

106,000

<1%

108,000

<1%

$3m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 130,000

19%

↑ 120,000

33%

↓ 100,000

88%

↓ 90,000

46%

↓ 80,000

19%

↑ 130,000

19%

↑ 120,000

33%

↓ 100,000

88%

↓ 90,000

46%

↓ 80,000

19%

$49m Vol.

What will happen before GTA VI?

GPT-6 released

83%

New Playboi Carti Album

66%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

61%

New Rihanna Album

56%

Trump out as President

51%

GPT-6 released

83%

New Playboi Carti Album

66%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

61%

New Rihanna Album

56%

Trump out as President

51%

$9m Vol.

Complex

La Liga Winner

Real Madrid

69%

Barcelona

24%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Celta Vigo

<1%

Real Madrid

69%

Barcelona

24%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Celta Vigo

<1%

$21m Vol.

F1 Drivers Champion

Lando Norris

69%

Oscar Piastri

18%

Max Verstappen

12%

George Russell

<1%

Lando Norris

69%

Oscar Piastri

18%

Max Verstappen

12%

George Russell

<1%

$145m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

64%

Man City

17%

Liverpool

11%

Man United

Chelsea

Arsenal

64%

Man City

17%

Liverpool

11%

Man United

Chelsea

$92m Vol.

63%

KT Rolster

38%

$3m Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS•Tomorrow 7:00 AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

60%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

J.D. Vance

60%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$80m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

Wicked: For Good

53%

Zootopia 2

20%

A Minecraft Movie

16%

Avatar 3

11%

Lilo & Stitch

Wicked: For Good

53%

Zootopia 2

20%

A Minecraft Movie

16%

Avatar 3

11%

Lilo & Stitch

$64m Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in November?

↑ 4,200

20%

↑ 4,000

33%

↓ 3,000

45%

↓ 2,800

28%

↓ 2,600

17%

↑ 4,200

20%

↑ 4,000

33%

↓ 3,000

45%

↓ 2,800

28%

↓ 2,600

17%

$7m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 120,000

10%

↑ 115,000

27%

↓ 95,000

43%

↓ 90,000

23%

↓ 85,000

12%

↑ 120,000

10%

↑ 115,000

27%

↓ 95,000

43%

↓ 90,000

23%

↓ 85,000

12%

$14m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

39%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

39%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

$281m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 4 - November 11, 2025?

100-119

120-139

23%

140-159

32%

160-179

22%

180-199

12%

100-119

120-139

23%

140-159

32%

160-179

22%

180-199

12%

$5m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

31%

Denver Nuggets

11%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

Los Angeles Lakers

Oklahoma City Thunder

31%

Denver Nuggets

11%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

Los Angeles Lakers

$43m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

$113m Vol.

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