Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

45%

No change

53%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

45%

No change

53%

25+ bps increase

$110m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Philadelphia

15%

Los Angeles R

12%

Buffalo

10%

Kansas City

Detroit

Philadelphia

15%

Los Angeles R

12%

Buffalo

10%

Kansas City

Detroit

$548m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 11 - November 18, 2025?

260-279

47%

280-299

47%

300-319

320-339

340-359

<1%

260-279

47%

280-299

47%

300-319

320-339

340-359

<1%

$14m Vol.

What will Trump say during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Thank you 10+ times

72%

Abraham Accords

85%

F-35

90%

Board of Peace

71%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

75%

Thank you 10+ times

72%

Abraham Accords

85%

F-35

90%

Board of Peace

71%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

75%

$113k Vol.

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

99%

chance

$1m Vol.

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18

92%

November 19

November 20

November 21

<1%

November 22

November 18

92%

November 19

November 20

November 21

<1%

November 22

$6m Vol.

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

80%

chance

$285k Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?

37%

chance

$85k Vol.

How many House votes on an Epstein disclosure bill? (Higher Brackets)

<330

380–389

390–399

400–409

410+

87%

<330

380–389

390–399

400–409

410+

87%

$55k Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

14%

March 31, 2026

35%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

14%

March 31, 2026

35%

$11m Vol.

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

79%

chance

$26k Vol.

How long will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands on Tuesday?

2–6s

14%

6–10s

39%

10–15s

21%

15s+

16%

Photographed only

2–6s

14%

6–10s

39%

10–15s

21%

15s+

16%

Photographed only

$14k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

24%

chance

$1m Vol.

Who will vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Mike Johnson

92%

Jim Jordan

99%

Steve Scalise

97%

Elise Stefanik

97%

James Comer

98%

Mike Johnson

92%

Jim Jordan

99%

Steve Scalise

97%

Elise Stefanik

97%

James Comer

98%

$19k Vol.

Who will Trump talk to in November?

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman

100%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

32%

Keir Starmer

47%

Narendra Modi

41%

Elon Musk

95%

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman

100%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

32%

Keir Starmer

47%

Narendra Modi

41%

Elon Musk

95%

$1m Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

95%

Jeannette Jara

Franco Parisi

<1%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

José Antonio Kast

95%

Jeannette Jara

Franco Parisi

<1%

Jaime Mulet

<1%

Carolina Tohá

<1%

$73m Vol.

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Artificial Intelligence

38%

Pope Leo XIV

17%

Jensen Huang

15%

Donald Trump

Sam Altman

Artificial Intelligence

38%

Pope Leo XIV

17%

Jensen Huang

15%

Donald Trump

Sam Altman

$5m Vol.

Monad public sale total commitments above ___ ?

$400M

87%

$600M

57%

$800M

16%

$1B

$1.2B

$400M

87%

$600M

57%

$800M

16%

$1B

$1.2B

$1m Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 22

95%

November 30

98%

December 31

100%

November 22

95%

November 30

98%

December 31

100%

$16m Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

12%

chance

$3m Vol.

Total commitments for the Solomon public sale on MetaDAO

>$15M

98%

>$20M

95%

>$40M

48%

>$60M

16%

>$80M

>$15M

98%

>$20M

95%

>$40M

48%

>$60M

16%

>$80M

$4m Vol.

Top Spotify Artist 2025

Bad Bunny

97%

Taylor Swift

Ariana Grande

<1%

Drake

<1%

The Weeknd

<1%

Bad Bunny

97%

Taylor Swift

Ariana Grande

<1%

Drake

<1%

The Weeknd

<1%

$33m Vol.

Largest Company end of November?

NVIDIA

96%

Apple

Microsoft

<1%

Alphabet

<1%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

NVIDIA

96%

Apple

Microsoft

<1%

Alphabet

<1%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

$16m Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of November?

Google

94%

xAI

Anthropic

OpenAI

DeepSeek

<1%

Google

94%

xAI

Anthropic

OpenAI

DeepSeek

<1%

$4m Vol.

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA

89%

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

Tesla

<1%

NVIDIA

89%

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

Tesla

<1%

$40m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

Wicked: For Good

64%

Zootopia 2

15%

A Minecraft Movie

13%

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

Wicked: For Good

64%

Zootopia 2

15%

A Minecraft Movie

13%

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

$72m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 120,000

13%

↑ 110,000

29%

↑ 100,000

61%

↓ 80,000

37%

↓ 70,000

15%

↑ 120,000

13%

↑ 110,000

29%

↑ 100,000

61%

↓ 80,000

37%

↓ 70,000

15%

$59m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

56%

Marco Rubio

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

J.D. Vance

56%

Marco Rubio

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

$93m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

55%

Man City

29%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

Arsenal

55%

Man City

29%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

$104m Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in November?

↑ 4,000

↓ 2,800

48%

↓ 2,600

24%

↓ 2,400

11%

↓ 2,200

↑ 4,000

↓ 2,800

48%

↓ 2,600

24%

↓ 2,400

11%

↓ 2,200

$16m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 115,000

↓ 85,000

40%

↓ 80,000

13%

↓ 75,000

↓ 70,000

↑ 115,000

↓ 85,000

40%

↓ 80,000

13%

↓ 75,000

↓ 70,000

$31m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

$310m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

18%

England

15%

France

14%

Brazil

10%

Portugal

Spain

18%

England

15%

France

14%

Brazil

10%

Portugal

$4m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on November 18?

94,000

96,000

98,000

<1%

100,000

<1%

102,000

<1%

94,000

96,000

98,000

<1%

100,000

<1%

102,000

<1%

$2m Vol.

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